Picking a realistic half marathon goal pace is easier with recent race data.
A recent 10K time can give a reasonable estimate using common race-equivalence calculators
Training volume and long-run experience affect how well 10K speed translates
Conditions on race day, like heat and hills, affect pacing
Starting slightly conservatively is usually safer
Useful tools: training calculators and marathon running physiology .
How do you choose your half marathon goal pace?
A worked example: a runner with a 10K of 50 minutes might use a calculator to estimate a half marathon around 1:50-1:52. If their weekly volume is low, a slightly slower goal may be more realistic.
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